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公司财务整理(四)- 投资决策与现金流估算

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这个系列文章流产了,因为我已经考完了!!!

写在前面

《公司财务》是BUAA经济管理学院的一门必修课,每个经管学院的学生都要学习,更加硬核的是这门课采用全英文的形式教学和考核,我觉得有必要整理一下,方便以后复习和学弟学妹的学习。

与离散数学一样,为了防止以后忘记,先写一个中英文对照表…

中英文对照表

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

Valuation: The One-Period Case

Time allows you the opportunity to postpone consumption and earn interest

Future Value

The total amount due at the end of the investment is called the Future Value (FV).

$$
FV = C_0 \times (1+r)
$$

Where $C_0$ is cash flow today (time zero), and $r$ is the appropriate interest rate.

Present Value

The amount that a borrower would need to set aside today to be able to meet the promised payment in one year is called the Present Value (PV).

$$
PV = \frac{C_1}{1+r}
$$

Where $C_1$ is cash flow at Period 1, and $r$ is the appropriate interest rate.

The Multiperiod Case

Future Value

The general formula for the future value of an investment over many periods can be written as :
$$
FV = C_0 \times (1+r)^T
$$
Where C_0 is cash flow at date 0, r is the appropriate interest rate, and T is the number of periods over which the cash is invested.

Present Value

$$
PV = \frac{C_T}{(1+r)^T}
$$

Number of Periods

$$
T = \frac{ln(\frac{FV}{PV})}{ln(1+r)}
$$

Double your money

the “Rule-of-72” :

Years to Double = $\frac{72}{i}$

Rate

$$
r = \sqrt[n]\frac{FV}{PV} -1
$$

Compounding Periods

Compounding an investment $m$ times a year for $T$ years provides for value of wealth:
$$
FV = C_0\times (1+\frac r m)^{m\times T}
$$

Effective Annual Rate (EAR)

The EAR of interest is the annual rate that would give us the same end-of-investment after $T$ years.
$$
EAR = (1+\frac rm)^m-1
$$
The actual rate of interest earned after adjusting the nominal rate for factors such as the number of compounding periods per year.

Continuous Compounding

The general formula for the future value of an investment compounded continuously over many periods can be written as:
$$
FV = C_0 \times e^{rT}
$$
Where $C_0$ is cash flow at date 0, $r$ is the stated annual interest rate, $T$ is the number of years, and $e$ is a transcendental number approximately equal to 2.718.

Simplifications

Perpetuity

A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever.
$$
PV = \frac C r
$$
Where $C$ is constant cash flow, and $r$ is the stated annual interest rate.

Growing Perpetuity

A growing stream of cash flows that lasts forever.
$$
PV = \frac{C_1}{r-g} = \frac{C_0(1+g)}{r-g}
$$
Where $C_i$ is cash flow at date $i$, $r$ is the stated annual interest rate, and $g$ is the growth rate.

We also called this Gordon formula.

Annuity

A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.
$$
PV = \frac C r [1-\frac{1}{(1+r)^T}]\
FV = \frac C r [(1+r)^T-1]
$$
Where $C$ is constant cash flow, $r$ is the stated annual interest rate, and $T$ is the number of years.

Care about deferred annuity.

Growing Annuity

A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.
$$
PV = \frac{C_1}{r-g}[1-(\frac{1+g}{1-r})^T]
$$
Where $C_i$ is cash flow at date $i$, $r$ is the stated annual interest rate, $g$ is the growth rate, and $T$ is the number of years.

Loan Amortization

Pure Discount Loans

The simplest form of loan.

Treasury bills.

Interest-Only Loans

cash flows :

Year 1~n-1 : Interest payment

Year n : Interest + principle

Amortized Loans

With Fixed Principal Payment

Interest + principle

利息 = 尚未归还的本金*利率

每期支付的本金相同但利息不同

With Fixed Payment

每期支付的金额相同

Steps:
  1. Calculate the payment per period
  2. Determine the interest in Period t
  3. Compute principal payment in Period t
  4. Determine ending balance in Period t
  5. Start again at Step 2 and repeat.
文章作者: hobee
文章链接: https://hobeedzc.github.io/2020/05/12/%E5%85%AC%E5%8F%B8%E8%B4%A2%E5%8A%A1%E6%95%B4%E7%90%86%EF%BC%88%E5%9B%9B%EF%BC%89-%20%E6%8A%95%E8%B5%84%E5%86%B3%E7%AD%96%E4%B8%8E%E7%8E%B0%E9%87%91%E6%B5%81%E4%BC%B0%E7%AE%97/
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